📄 Research Article
AJSM Vol. 7, No. 10 (2021)
A MATHEMATICAL APPROACH TO UNDERSTANDING THE EFFECTIVENESS OF CONTROL MEASURES IN MITIGATING CORONAVIRUS DISEASE 19 (COVID-19) SPREAD.
C Okoye 1 & M B Okofu 1 & I D Benson 2 & N K Nubila 3 & C L Ejikeme 1 & S N Aguegboh 4 & D F Agbebaku 1 & G C E Mbah 1
1 Department of Mathematics, University of Nigeria Nsukka
2 Department of Computer Science and Mathematics, Godfery Okoye University Enugu
3 Department of Pharmacology and Therapeutics, University of Nigeria Nsukka
4 Department of Mathematics, Veritas University Abuja
2 Department of Computer Science and Mathematics, Godfery Okoye University Enugu
3 Department of Pharmacology and Therapeutics, University of Nigeria Nsukka
4 Department of Mathematics, Veritas University Abuja
Open Access
Peer Reviewed
Research Article
Abstract
In less than five months, the world was stunned and suddenly it appeared every labour done over time faces collapse; health sector, sports, entertainment and global economy shaking and looks irrecoverable. The Coronavirus infectious disease 19 (commonly called COVID-19) is the reason for all these sudden imbalance and implode in the world today. We formulate a Mathematical Model that describes the possible dynamic of the disease spread. We first set up a basic Mathematical model describing the population dynamics of COVID−19 under the assumption of homogeneous mixing population. We perform the dynamical system analysis in the model, particularly obtaining the threshold quantity, R0, the basic reproduction number, and studying the stability of the system. We extend the model by introducing palliative measures (control measures) such as self-isolation, social distancing and quarantining to ascertain its efficacy in reducing the embarrassing spread of COVID−19 with attention also paid to effect overture. Our analytical results supports the ongoing campaign to stay at home and isolation of the infectious individuals to mitigate further spread.
Keywords:
COVID−19, Control measure, Stability
📑 How to Cite This Article
APA 7th Edition:
C Okoye, M B Okofu, I D Benson, N K Nubila, C L Ejikeme, S N Aguegboh, D F Agbebaku, G C E Mbah (2021). A MATHEMATICAL APPROACH TO UNDERSTANDING THE EFFECTIVENESS OF CONTROL MEASURES IN MITIGATING CORONAVIRUS DISEASE 19 (COVID-19) SPREAD.. Academic Journal of Statistics and Mathematics, 7(10), 14-22. https://doi.org/
C Okoye, M B Okofu, I D Benson, N K Nubila, C L Ejikeme, S N Aguegboh, D F Agbebaku, G C E Mbah (2021). A MATHEMATICAL APPROACH TO UNDERSTANDING THE EFFECTIVENESS OF CONTROL MEASURES IN MITIGATING CORONAVIRUS DISEASE 19 (COVID-19) SPREAD.. Academic Journal of Statistics and Mathematics, 7(10), 14-22. https://doi.org/
Vancouver Style:
C Okoye, M B Okofu, I D Benson, N K Nubila, C L Ejikeme, S N Aguegboh, D F Agbebaku, G C E Mbah. A MATHEMATICAL APPROACH TO UNDERSTANDING THE EFFECTIVENESS OF CONTROL MEASURES IN MITIGATING CORONAVIRUS DISEASE 19 (COVID-19) SPREAD.. Acad. J. Stat. Math.. 2021;7(10):14-22. DOI:
C Okoye, M B Okofu, I D Benson, N K Nubila, C L Ejikeme, S N Aguegboh, D F Agbebaku, G C E Mbah. A MATHEMATICAL APPROACH TO UNDERSTANDING THE EFFECTIVENESS OF CONTROL MEASURES IN MITIGATING CORONAVIRUS DISEASE 19 (COVID-19) SPREAD.. Acad. J. Stat. Math.. 2021;7(10):14-22. DOI:
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