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Academic Journal of Statistics and Mathematics

(AJSM)
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HomeAJSM Vol. 7, No. 10 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF FOWL POX INFECTION
📄 Research Article AJSM Vol. 7, No. 10 (2021)

SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF FOWL POX INFECTION

James Daniel 1 & Ndidiamaka Edith Didigwu 2 & Terhemen Simon Atindiga 3
1 Nigeria Air Force Base, Bill Clinton Drive, Abuja
2 Department of Industrial Mathematics/Applied Statistics, Enugu State University of Science and Technology, Enugu State, Nigeria.
3 Department of Basic Sciences, Akperan Orshi College of Agriculture, Yandev, Gboko, Benue State, Nigeria.
Academic Journal of Statistics and Mathematics, Vol. 7, No. 10 (2021), pp. 1-13 | DOI:
Open Access Peer Reviewed Research Article

Abstract

In this study, a Susceptible, Exposed, Infected and Removed Mathematical model of fowl pox infection in poultry was formulated in order to capture possible effects of the disease. The Next-Generation matrix was used to obtain the reproduction number of the infection. We carried out sensitivity analysis on the model parameters in respect to the calculated reproduction number. The analysis showed that, the transmission rate of the infection is the most sensitive parameter that increases the rate of transmission of the disease followed by the proportion of susceptible birds infected latently unnoticed, . The third most sensitive parameter was found to be the rate at which the exposed birds become infectious while the least sensitive parameter being  ,  rate at which the treated infected birds join the susceptible class. This analysis is implemented graphically through maple 17.
Keywords: Susceptibility, Latent, Sensitivity analysis, Infection and Transmission
📑 How to Cite This Article
APA 7th Edition:
James Daniel, Ndidiamaka Edith Didigwu, Terhemen Simon Atindiga (2021). SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF FOWL POX INFECTION. Academic Journal of Statistics and Mathematics, 7(10), 1-13. https://doi.org/
Vancouver Style:
James Daniel, Ndidiamaka Edith Didigwu, Terhemen Simon Atindiga. SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF FOWL POX INFECTION. Acad. J. Stat. Math.. 2021;7(10):1-13. DOI:
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